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Home » Predictions » Others » Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg Betting tips for September 29 in Poland I Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Poland I Liga
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
PREDICTION Miedz Legnica wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg Betting tips for September 29 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:00
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
1.58
X
3.92
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg
4.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg:

🔮 Miedz Legnica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Miedz Legnica, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Miedz Legnica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kotwica Kolobrzeg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $400.0.
👉 In the last 3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kotwica Kolobrzeg conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg for the Poland I Liga – 29 of September

🏟️ Miedz Legnica X Kotwica Kolobrzeg – Poland I Liga
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Miedz Legnica – Winning probability: 72.36% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.04% | Fair line: 5.87
🔴 Kotwica Kolobrzeg – Winning probability: 10.61% | Fair line: 9.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Miedz Legnica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Miedz Legnica and Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Should you bet on Miedz Legnica?

🔵 Miedz Legnica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $417.60;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$137.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $496.40
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

🔴 Kotwica Kolobrzeg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $422.40;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$467.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Miedz Legnica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Miedz Legnica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Miedz Legnica.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Miedz Legnica x Kotwica Kolobrzeg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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