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Home » Predictions » Others » Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for October 31 in Poland Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 19h30 Poland Cup
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
PREDICTION Legia Warsaw Wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for October 31 in Poland Cup

Our betting tip for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
19:30
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
5.50
X
3.80
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
1.53

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw:

🔮 Legia Warsaw wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Legia Warsaw, you can win up to $765.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Miedz Legnica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Legia Warsaw in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $39.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Legia Warsaw scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Legia Warsaw, Miedz Legnica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Miedz Legnica matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw, with Miedz Legnica as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Miedz Legnica conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Legia Warsaw.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Legia Warsaw has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw for the Poland Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ Miedz Legnica X Legia Warsaw – Poland Cup
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Miedz Legnica – Winning probability: 5.40% | Fair line: 18.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.07% | Fair line: 9.93
🔴 Legia Warsaw – Winning probability: 84.53% | Fair line: 1.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Miedz Legnica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213227 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw

Is it a good idea to bet on Miedz Legnica?

🔵 Miedz Legnica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$725.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.

Should you bet on Legia Warsaw?

🔴 Legia Warsaw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 850 times – profiting $450.50;
  • And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$300.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Miedz Legnica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Miedz Legnica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Miedz Legnica.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Miedz Legnica x Legia Warsaw

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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