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Home ยป Predictions ยป Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Super League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Kenya Super League
Migori Youth Migori Youth
PREDICTION Migori Youth wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars
ODD: @2.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Super League

Our betting tip for Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Migori Youth Migori Youth
2.60
X
3.00
Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Migori Youth wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Migori Youth, you can win up to $1300.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Migori Youth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kisumu All Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Migori Youth did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 Migori Youth matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars, with Migori Youth as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Kisumu All Stars has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars for the Kenya Super League – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Migori Youth X Kisumu All Stars – Kenya Super League
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
๐Ÿ”ต Migori Youth – Winning probability: 40.43% | Fair line: 2.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.99% | Fair line: 3.57
๐Ÿ”ด Kisumu All Stars – Winning probability: 31.58% | Fair line: 3.17
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Migori Youth
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Migori Youth and Kisumu All Stars.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars

Is it a good idea to bet on Migori Youth?

๐Ÿ”ต Migori Youth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $640.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$40.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on Kisumu All Stars?

๐Ÿ”ด Kisumu All Stars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$168.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Migori Youth
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Migori Youth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Migori Youth.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Migori Youth x Kisumu All Stars

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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