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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 1 in Colombia Cup
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 22h00 Colombia Cup
Millonarios Millonarios
PREDICTION Millonarios wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 1 in Colombia Cup

Our betting tip for Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
22:00
Millonarios Millonarios
1.60
X
3.30
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
5.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Millonarios wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $705.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Millonarios did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Bucaramanga scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Bucaramanga is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga:

Analysis from Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Cup – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Millonarios X Atletico Bucaramanga – Colombia Cup
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Millonarios – Winning probability: 44.80% | Fair line: 2.23
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.54% | Fair line: 4.08
๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 30.66% | Fair line: 3.26
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Millonarios
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193838 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga

Is it worth betting on Millonarios?

๐Ÿ”ต Millonarios: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $270.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$280.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$175.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Bucaramanga?

๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Bucaramanga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $1472.50;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$782.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Millonarios
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Millonarios and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Millonarios.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Atletico Bucaramanga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millonarios x Atletico Bucaramanga

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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