Millwall x Stoke Betting tips for March 15 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Millwall x Stoke, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 12:30

Millwall 1.95

X 3.30

Stoke 3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Millwall x Stoke:

🔮 Millwall wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millwall, you can win up to $975.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Millwall x Stoke: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Millwall in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Stoke in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Stoke, Millwall scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Millwall conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Stoke conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Millwall has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Stoke playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Stoke as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Millwall x Stoke?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Millwall x Stoke, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Millwall x Stoke for the England Championship – 15 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Millwall and Stoke.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Millwall x Stoke

Is it a good idea to bet on Millwall?

🔵 Millwall: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $475.00;
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$25.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $621.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it worth betting on Stoke?

🔴 Stoke: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $672.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Millwall x Stoke

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Millwall
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millwall x Stoke

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Millwall, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Millwall.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millwall x Stoke

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.