📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Millwall x Swansea
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Millwall x Swansea?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Millwall x Swansea, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2021. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Millwall x Swansea for the England Championship – 26 of December
🏟️ Millwall X Swansea – England Championship
When the best bet on Millwall x Swansea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 281997 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Millwall x Swansea
Is betting on Millwall worth it?
🔵 Millwall: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $591.50
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$61.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.
Should you bet on Swansea?
🔴 Swansea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $525.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Millwall x Swansea
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Millwall
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Millwall x Swansea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Millwall, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Millwall.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2market.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Millwall x Swansea
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicapmarket.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves