📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster
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Analysis from Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster for the England League 1 – 22 of January
🏟️ Milton Keynes Dons X Doncaster – England League 1
When the best bet on Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster
Is it a good idea to bet on Milton Keynes Dons?
🔵 Milton Keynes Dons: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $331.20
- And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$251.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $216.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$724.00.
Is it worth betting on Doncaster?
🔴 Doncaster: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $130.00
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$850.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Milton Keynes Dons
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Milton Keynes Dons, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Milton Keynes Dons.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Milton Keynes Dons.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Milton Keynes Dons x Doncaster
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves