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Home » Predictions » Others » Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 23h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
PREDICTION Mineros de Fresnillo wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Real Apodaca FC Real Apodaca FC
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
23:00
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
2.05
X
3.60
Real Apodaca FC Real Apodaca FC
2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC:

🔮 Mineros de Fresnillo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mineros de Fresnillo, you can win up to $1025.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Fresnillo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 In the last 3 Real Apodaca FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Mineros de Fresnillo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Real Apodaca FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 11 of January

🏟️ Mineros de Fresnillo X Real Apodaca FC – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Mineros de Fresnillo – Winning probability: 57.94% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.88% | Fair line: 4.79
🔴 Real Apodaca FC – Winning probability: 21.18% | Fair line: 4.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mineros de Fresnillo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC

Should you bet on Mineros de Fresnillo?

🔵 Mineros de Fresnillo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on Real Apodaca FC?

🔴 Real Apodaca FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $399.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$391.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mineros de Fresnillo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mineros de Fresnillo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mineros de Fresnillo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Mineros de Fresnillo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mineros de Fresnillo x Real Apodaca FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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