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Home » Predictions » Others » Minnesota United x Chicago Fire Betting tips for July 9 in USA US Open Cup
Wednesday, 09 July 2025, 00h00 USA US Open Cup
Minnesota United Minnesota United
PREDICTION Minnesota United wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Minnesota United x Chicago Fire Betting tips for July 9 in USA US Open Cup

Our betting tip for Minnesota United x Chicago Fire, Wednesday, 9/7/2025
📅 9/7/2025
00:00
Minnesota United Minnesota United
1.83
X
3.75
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Minnesota United x Chicago Fire:

🔮 Minnesota United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Minnesota United, you can win up to $915.00!

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The main points for the tip for Minnesota United x Chicago Fire:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Minnesota United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-109.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chicago Fire in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $416.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Chicago Fire scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Chicago Fire matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Minnesota United x Chicago Fire, with Minnesota United as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Chicago Fire conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Minnesota United x Chicago Fire for the USA US Open Cup – 9 of July

🏟️ Minnesota United X Chicago Fire – USA US Open Cup
📅 9 of July, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Minnesota United – Winning probability: 57.34% | Fair line: 1.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.63% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Chicago Fire – Winning probability: 21.03% | Fair line: 4.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Minnesota United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Minnesota United and Chicago Fire.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1350243 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Minnesota United x Chicago Fire

Should you bet on Minnesota United?

🔵 Minnesota United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $473.10;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$43.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $605.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on Chicago Fire worth it?

🔴 Chicago Fire: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Minnesota United x Chicago Fire

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Minnesota United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Minnesota United x Chicago Fire

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Minnesota United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Minnesota United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Chicago Fire.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Minnesota United x Chicago Fire

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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