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Home » Predictions » Others » Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for November 30 in Uruguay Clausura
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h00 Uruguay Clausura
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
PREDICTION No tip
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
Don't miss this prediction!

Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for November 30 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
20:00
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
3.60
X
3.35
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
1.97

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting

Some important points for the tip for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Miramar Misiones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensor Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Miramar Misiones scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting for the Uruguay Clausura – 30 of November

🏟️ Miramar Misiones X Defensor Sporting – Uruguay Clausura
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Miramar Misiones – Winning probability: 24.97% | Fair line: 4.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.13% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 Defensor Sporting – Winning probability: 44.91% | Fair line: 2.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Miramar Misiones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Miramar Misiones and Defensor Sporting.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting

Should you bet on Miramar Misiones?

🔵 Miramar Misiones: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $650.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $705.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$5.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Defensor Sporting?

🔴 Defensor Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $436.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$113.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Miramar Misiones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Miramar Misiones, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Miramar Misiones.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Miramar Misiones x Defensor Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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