Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi Betting tips for December 1 in Croatia 2.NL

Our betting tip for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 12:30

Bjelovar 2.42

X 3.30

Mladost Zdralovi 2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi

The main points for the tip for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bjelovar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-36.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bjelovar scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Bjelovar matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Bjelovar is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Bjelovar has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Mladost Zdralovi playing at home.

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Analysis from Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi for the Croatia 2.NL – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi

Is betting on Bjelovar worth it?

🔵 Bjelovar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $539.60;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $621.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$109.00.

Should you bet on Mladost Zdralovi?

🔴 Mladost Zdralovi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $542.50
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$107.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bjelovar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bjelovar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bjelovar.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bjelovar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bjelovar x Mladost Zdralovi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.