Modena x Sampdoria Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Modena x Sampdoria, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Modena 2.30

X 3.10

Sampdoria 3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Modena x Sampdoria:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Modena x Sampdoria

Important information for your tip for Modena x Sampdoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Modena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $14.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sampdoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sampdoria conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Modena x Sampdoria?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Modena x Sampdoria, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Modena x Sampdoria for the Italy Serie B – 29 of September

When the best bet on Modena x Sampdoria is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Modena x Sampdoria

Is it worth betting on Modena?

🔵 Modena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $481.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $693.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$23.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Sampdoria?

🔴 Sampdoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Modena x Sampdoria

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Modena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Modena x Sampdoria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Modena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Modena.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Modena x Sampdoria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.