MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi Betting tips for September 29 in Hungary NB I

Our betting tip for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:30

MOL Fehervar FC 2.40

X 3.40

Paksi 2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi

The main points for the tip for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on MOL Fehervar FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paksi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Paksi scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Paksi, MOL Fehervar FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 MOL Fehervar FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Paksi matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Paksi conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 MOL Fehervar FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Paksi playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi for the Hungary NB I – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi

Is it a good idea to bet on MOL Fehervar FC?

🔵 MOL Fehervar FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.00.

Should you bet on Paksi?

🔴 Paksi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$31.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 MOL Fehervar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 MOL Fehervar FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 MOL Fehervar FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MOL Fehervar FC x Paksi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.