Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC Betting tips for December 1 in Kenya Super League
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1/12/2024 12:00 |
 Mombasa Stars2.25 |
X 3.00 |
Muhoroni Youth FC  3.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC
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The main points for the tip for Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC: π If you had bet $100 on Mombasa Stars in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0. |
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Analysis from Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC for the Kenya Super League – 1 of December
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ποΈ Mombasa Stars X Muhoroni Youth FC – Kenya Super League |
When the best bet on Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC
Is betting on Mombasa Stars worth it?
π΅ Mombasa Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$12.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$100.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Muhoroni Youth FC?
π΄ Muhoroni Youth FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$280.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mombasa Stars
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mombasa Stars and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mombasa Stars.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mombasa Stars x Muhoroni Youth FC
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
