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Home » Predictions » Others » Monsoon x Guarany de Bage Betting tips for February 7 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Friday, 07 February 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Monsoon Monsoon
PREDICTION Guarany de Bage Wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
Guarany de Bage Guarany de Bage
ODD: @3.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Monsoon x Guarany de Bage Betting tips for February 7 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho

Our betting tip for Monsoon x Guarany de Bage, Friday, 7/2/2025
📅 7/2/2025
00:30
Monsoon Monsoon
2.14
X
2.90
Guarany de Bage Guarany de Bage
3.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monsoon x Guarany de Bage:

🔮 Guarany de Bage wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarany de Bage, you can win up to $1725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monsoon x Guarany de Bage:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monsoon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarany de Bage in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 Monsoon did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monsoon x Guarany de Bage for the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho – 7 of February

🏟️ Monsoon X Guarany de Bage – Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
📅 7 of February, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Monsoon – Winning probability: 39.16% | Fair line: 2.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.52% | Fair line: 3.39
🔴 Guarany de Bage – Winning probability: 31.32% | Fair line: 3.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monsoon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monsoon x Guarany de Bage is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1258216 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monsoon x Guarany de Bage

Is betting on Monsoon worth it?

🔵 Monsoon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $444.60;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$165.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is betting on Guarany de Bage worth it?

🔴 Guarany de Bage: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $759.50;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$69.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monsoon x Guarany de Bage

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monsoon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monsoon x Guarany de Bage

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Monsoon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Monsoon.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monsoon x Guarany de Bage

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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