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Home » Predictions » Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 18h00 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Monte Azul SP Monte Azul SP
PREDICTION Monte Azul SP wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Sertaozinho FC Sertaozinho FC
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3

Our betting tip for Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
18:00
Monte Azul SP Monte Azul SP
1.85
X
3.25
Sertaozinho FC Sertaozinho FC
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC:

🔮 Monte Azul SP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monte Azul SP, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sertaozinho FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monte Azul SP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Sertaozinho FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Monte Azul SP matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monte Azul SP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Monte Azul SP is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 – 12 of April

🏟️ Monte Azul SP X Sertaozinho FC – Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Monte Azul SP – Winning probability: 76.31% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.57% | Fair line: 5.69
🔴 Sertaozinho FC – Winning probability: 6.13% | Fair line: 16.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Monte Azul SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monte Azul SP and Sertaozinho FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC

Is it worth betting on Monte Azul SP?

🔵 Monte Azul SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $646.00
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$406.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $405.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on Sertaozinho FC?

🔴 Sertaozinho FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $192.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$748.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Monte Azul SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Monte Azul SP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Monte Azul SP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Monte Azul SP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monte Azul SP x Sertaozinho FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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