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Home » Predictions » Others » Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Montecchio Maggiore Montecchio Maggiore
PREDICTION Treviso Wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Treviso Treviso
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Montecchio Maggiore Montecchio Maggiore
5.25
X
3.80
Treviso Treviso
1.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso:

🔮 Treviso wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Treviso, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Montecchio Maggiore in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Treviso scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Treviso is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Montecchio Maggiore X Treviso – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Montecchio Maggiore – Winning probability: 7.56% | Fair line: 13.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.34
🔴 Treviso – Winning probability: 76.67% | Fair line: 1.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Montecchio Maggiore
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Montecchio Maggiore and Treviso.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso

Is it a good idea to bet on Montecchio Maggiore?

🔵 Montecchio Maggiore: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $340.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$580.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Is it worth betting on Treviso?

🔴 Treviso: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $385.00;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Montecchio Maggiore
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Montecchio Maggiore and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Montecchio Maggiore.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Montecchio Maggiore.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montecchio Maggiore x Treviso

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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