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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women Betting tips for September 30 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monday, 30 September 2024, 23h00 Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey Women Monterrey Women
PREDICTION No tip
Mazatlan FC Women Mazatlan FC Women
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Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women Betting tips for September 30 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Our betting tip for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
23:00
Monterrey Women Monterrey Women
1.03
X
12.00
Mazatlan FC Women Mazatlan FC Women
26.29

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women

Some important points for the tip for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monterrey Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-59.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mazatlan FC Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $2800.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Monterrey Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mazatlan FC Women, Monterrey Women scored at least 3 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Mazatlan FC Women matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women, with Monterrey Women as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mazatlan FC Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Monterrey Women has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Mazatlan FC Women.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women for the Mexico Liga MX Femenil – 30 of September

🏟️ Monterrey Women X Mazatlan FC Women – Mexico Liga MX Femenil
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ Monterrey Women – Winning probability: 99.96% | Fair line: 1.0
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.03% | Fair line: 3487.16
πŸ”΄ Mazatlan FC Women – Winning probability: 0.01% | Fair line: 10809.1
βš– Handicap 1×2: -4.75 Monterrey Women
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192575 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women

Should you bet on Monterrey Women?

πŸ”΅ Monterrey Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $30.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$30.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Mazatlan FC Women?

πŸ”΄ Mazatlan FC Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 26.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -4.75 Monterrey Women
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -4.75 Monterrey Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -3.0 Monterrey Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -3.0 Monterrey Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey Women x Mazatlan FC Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 4.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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