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Home Β» Predictions Β» Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19 Betting tips for May 11 in France U19 League
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 13h00 France U19 League
Montfermeil FC U19 Montfermeil FC U19
PREDICTION No tip
Amiens SC U19 Amiens SC U19
Don't miss this prediction!

Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19 Betting tips for May 11 in France U19 League

Our betting tip for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19, Sunday, 11/5/2025
πŸ“… 11/5/2025
13:00
Montfermeil FC U19 Montfermeil FC U19
3.00
X
3.50
Amiens SC U19 Amiens SC U19
2.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19

Important information for your tip for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Montfermeil FC U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $430.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Amiens SC U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Montfermeil FC U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Amiens SC U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19 for the France U19 League – 11 of May

🏟️ Montfermeil FC U19 X Amiens SC U19 – France U19 League
πŸ“… 11 of May, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Montfermeil FC U19 – Winning probability: 28.81% | Fair line: 3.47
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.58% | Fair line: 4.63
πŸ”΄ Amiens SC U19 – Winning probability: 49.60% | Fair line: 2.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Montfermeil FC U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19

Is it worth betting on Montfermeil FC U19?

πŸ”΅ Montfermeil FC U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$130.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Amiens SC U19?

πŸ”΄ Amiens SC U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$0.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Montfermeil FC U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Montfermeil FC U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Montfermeil FC U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Montfermeil FC U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montfermeil FC U19 x Amiens SC U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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