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Home » Predictions » Others » Monza U20 x Bologna U20 Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h30 Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Monza U20 Monza U20
PREDICTION Bologna U20 Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Bologna U20 Bologna U20
ODD: @2.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Monza U20 x Bologna U20 Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Monza U20 x Bologna U20, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:30
Monza U20 Monza U20
2.80
X
3.65
Bologna U20 Bologna U20
2.11

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monza U20 x Bologna U20:

🔮 Bologna U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna U20, you can win up to $1055.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Monza U20 x Bologna U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Bologna U20 did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Bologna U20 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Monza U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bologna U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Bologna U20 as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monza U20 x Bologna U20 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ Monza U20 X Bologna U20 – Italy Campionato Primavera 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 Monza U20 – Winning probability: 23.34% | Fair line: 4.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.52% | Fair line: 3.77
🔴 Bologna U20 – Winning probability: 50.13% | Fair line: 1.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monza U20 x Bologna U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monza U20 x Bologna U20

Is it worth betting on Monza U20?

🔵 Monza U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $414.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $715.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.50.

Should you bet on Bologna U20?

🔴 Bologna U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $555.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$55.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monza U20 x Bologna U20

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza U20 x Bologna U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Monza U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Monza U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Monza U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza U20 x Bologna U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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