Monzón x CDJ Tamarite Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Tercera Group 17

Our betting tip for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025
16:30

Monzón
2.18

X
3.09

CDJ Tamarite

3.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite

Some important points for the tip for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CDJ Tamarite in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 Monzón did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monzón scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Monzón matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Monzón is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Monzón x CDJ Tamarite for the Spain Tercera Group 17 – 12 of April

🏟️ Monzón X CDJ Tamarite – Spain Tercera Group 17
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Monzón – Winning probability: 43.32% | Fair line: 2.31
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.12% | Fair line: 3.11
🔴 CDJ Tamarite – Winning probability: 24.56% | Fair line: 4.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monzón
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monzón and CDJ Tamarite.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite

Is betting on Monzón worth it?

🔵 Monzón: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $507.40;
And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$62.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $668.80
And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$11.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on CDJ Tamarite?

🔴 CDJ Tamarite: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $530.00;
And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monzón x CDJ Tamarite

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monzón
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Monzón and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Monzón.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monzón x CDJ Tamarite

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.