Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 14
| 📅 12/1/2025 16:00 |
 Moralo1.60 |
X 3.72 |
E.F. Puebla de la Calzada  4.72 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada:
🔮 Moralo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moralo, you can win up to $800.00!
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The main points for the tip for Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moralo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-253.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 12 of January
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🏟️ Moralo X E.F. Puebla de la Calzada – Spain Tercera Group 14 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
Is it worth betting on Moralo?
🔵 Moralo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $414.00;
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$104.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $571.20;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$218.80.
Is betting on E.F. Puebla de la Calzada worth it?
🔴 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $372.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$528.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moralo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Moralo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Moralo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moralo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
