Moralo x UD Montijo Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for Moralo x UD Montijo, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 16:30

Moralo 1.90

X 3.32

UD Montijo 3.51

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Moralo x UD Montijo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Moralo x UD Montijo

Important information for your tip for Moralo x UD Montijo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moralo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-53.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Montijo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-261.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Moralo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against UD Montijo, Moralo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 UD Montijo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Moralo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Moralo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against UD Montijo playing at home.

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Analysis from Moralo x UD Montijo for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 9 of March

When the best bet on Moralo x UD Montijo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Moralo x UD Montijo

Is it worth betting on Moralo?

🔵 Moralo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$12.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $649.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$70.40.

Is it worth betting on UD Montijo?

🔴 UD Montijo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $476.90
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$333.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Moralo x UD Montijo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moralo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moralo x UD Montijo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Moralo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Moralo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moralo x UD Montijo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.