Morecambe x Bradford Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup
| 📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
 Morecambe4.31 |
X 3.63 |
Bradford  1.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Morecambe x Bradford:
🔮 Bradford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bradford, you can win up to $875.00!
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The main points for the tip for Morecambe x Bradford: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Morecambe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. |
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Analysis from Morecambe x Bradford for the England FA Cup – 30 of November
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🏟️ Morecambe X Bradford – England FA Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Morecambe x Bradford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Morecambe x Bradford
Is it a good idea to bet on Morecambe?
🔵 Morecambe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $496.50;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$353.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $236.70;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$673.30.
Is it worth betting on Bradford?
🔴 Bradford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $562.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$312.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Morecambe x Bradford
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Morecambe
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Morecambe x Bradford
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Morecambe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Morecambe.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bradford.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Morecambe x Bradford
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
