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Home » Predictions » Others » Mortagua FC x Fatima Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Mortagua FC Mortagua FC
PREDICTION Fatima Wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Fatima Fatima
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Mortagua FC x Fatima Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Mortagua FC x Fatima, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
15:00
Mortagua FC Mortagua FC
4.01
X
3.50
Fatima Fatima
1.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mortagua FC x Fatima:

🔮 Fatima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fatima, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mortagua FC x Fatima:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mortagua FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fatima in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $555.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mortagua FC x Fatima for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 13 of April

🏟️ Mortagua FC X Fatima – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Mortagua FC – Winning probability: 9.27% | Fair line: 10.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.82% | Fair line: 5.31
🔴 Fatima – Winning probability: 71.91% | Fair line: 1.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Mortagua FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mortagua FC and Fatima.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mortagua FC x Fatima

Is it a good idea to bet on Mortagua FC?

🔵 Mortagua FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.90
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$639.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on Fatima worth it?

🔴 Fatima: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mortagua FC x Fatima

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Mortagua FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mortagua FC x Fatima

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Mortagua FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Mortagua FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mortagua FC x Fatima

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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