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Home » Predictions » Others » Moss x Kongsvinger Betting tips for December 1 in Norway Division 1 Play-Offs
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h00 Norway Division 1 Play-Offs
Moss Moss
PREDICTION Moss wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
ODD: @2.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Moss x Kongsvinger Betting tips for December 1 in Norway Division 1 Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Moss x Kongsvinger, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:00
Moss Moss
2.29
X
3.25
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Moss x Kongsvinger:

🔮 Moss wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moss, you can win up to $1145.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Moss x Kongsvinger:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Moss in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $137.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kongsvinger in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $480.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Moss scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Kongsvinger scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Kongsvinger matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Moss conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kongsvinger conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Kongsvinger has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Moss x Kongsvinger for the Norway Division 1 Play-Offs – 1 of December

🏟️ Moss X Kongsvinger – Norway Division 1 Play-Offs
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Moss – Winning probability: 48.93% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.17% | Fair line: 4.14
🔴 Kongsvinger – Winning probability: 26.90% | Fair line: 3.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Moss
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Moss and Kongsvinger.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Moss x Kongsvinger

Is betting on Moss worth it?

🔵 Moss: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $632.10
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kongsvinger?

🔴 Kongsvinger: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Moss x Kongsvinger

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Moss
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moss x Kongsvinger

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Moss, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Moss.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moss x Kongsvinger

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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