Mosul FC x Newroz SC Betting tips for February 6 in Iraq Stars League
| 📅 6/2/2026 14:30 |
Mosul FC2.30 |
X 2.90 |
Newroz SC ![]() 3.05 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mosul FC x Newroz SC:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Mosul FC x Newroz SC
Important information for your tip for Mosul FC x Newroz SC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mosul FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newroz SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mosul FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Mosul FC as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from Mosul FC x Newroz SC for the Iraq Stars League – 6 of February
🏟️ Mosul FC X Newroz SC – Iraq Stars League
📅 6 of February, 2026 – 14:30
🔵 Mosul FC – Winning probability: 41.74% | Fair line: 2.4
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.05% | Fair line: 3.57
🔴 Newroz SC – Winning probability: 30.22% | Fair line: 3.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mosul FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Mosul FC x Newroz SC
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Mosul FC x Newroz SC.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Mosul FC are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.25 for Mosul FC and now the odds are @2.25.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.9 for Draw and now the odds are @2.9.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Newroz SC are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for Newroz SC and now the odds are @3.1.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for Mosul FC is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Mosul FC x Newroz SC
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mosul FC x Newroz SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475020 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it worth betting on Mosul FC?
🔵 Mosul FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$34.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$188.00.
Should you bet on Newroz SC?
🔴 Newroz SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$85.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mosul FC x Newroz SC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mosul FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mosul FC x Newroz SC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Mosul FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Mosul FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Mosul FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mosul FC x Newroz SC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Mosul FC x Newroz SC
Who is the favourite: Mosul FC or Newroz SC?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Mosul FC, with an estimated chance of 41.74%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Mosul FC or Newroz SC?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Mosul FC has the better chance to win, with a probability of 41.74%. If you choose to back Mosul FC, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Mosul FC beating Newroz SC today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Mosul FC would take victory in roughly 42 of them versus Newroz SC.
What are the chances of Newroz SC beating Mosul FC today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Newroz SC would take victory in roughly 30 of them against Mosul FC.
Which team should I bet on: Mosul FC or Newroz SC?
We did not identify an obvious positive EV bet for this game. Stay disciplined with bankroll management and avoid risking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Mosul FC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mosul FC x Newroz SC:
The average odds for Mosul FC to beat Newroz SC today are 2.30. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2300.00 if Mosul FC wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Newroz SC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mosul FC x Newroz SC:
The odds for Newroz SC to beat Mosul FC today are around 3.05. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3050.00 if Newroz SC wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Mosul FC