Motagua x CD Victoria Betting tips for December 1 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Motagua x CD Victoria, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 01:00

Motagua 1.50

X 4.05

CD Victoria 4.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Motagua x CD Victoria:

🔮 Motagua wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Motagua, you can win up to $750.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Motagua x CD Victoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Motagua in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Victoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Motagua scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD Victoria, Motagua scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Motagua x CD Victoria, with Motagua as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Motagua conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CD Victoria conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Motagua x CD Victoria?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Motagua x CD Victoria, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Motagua x CD Victoria for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 1 of December

When the best bet on Motagua x CD Victoria is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Motagua x CD Victoria

Is it a good idea to bet on Motagua?

🔵 Motagua: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 760 times – profiting $380.00;
• And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $488.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Victoria?

🔴 CD Victoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $300.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$620.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Motagua x CD Victoria

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Motagua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motagua x CD Victoria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Motagua, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Motagua.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motagua x CD Victoria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.