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Home » Predictions » Others » Motagua x Juticalpa Betting tips for April 13 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 23h15 Honduras Liga Nacional
Motagua Motagua
PREDICTION Motagua wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Juticalpa Juticalpa
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Motagua x Juticalpa Betting tips for April 13 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Motagua x Juticalpa, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
23:15
Motagua Motagua
1.28
X
4.65
Juticalpa Juticalpa
8.79

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Motagua x Juticalpa:

🔮 Motagua wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Motagua, you can win up to $640.00!

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Important information for your tip for Motagua x Juticalpa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Motagua in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $9.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juticalpa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Juticalpa did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Motagua scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Juticalpa, Motagua scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Motagua x Juticalpa, with Motagua as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Juticalpa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Motagua is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Motagua has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Juticalpa.
👉 It is not a good time for Juticalpa as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Motagua x Juticalpa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Motagua x Juticalpa:

Analysis from Motagua x Juticalpa for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 13 of April

🏟️ Motagua X Juticalpa – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 23:15
🔵 Motagua – Winning probability: 85.83% | Fair line: 1.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.99% | Fair line: 10.01
🔴 Juticalpa – Winning probability: 4.18% | Fair line: 23.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Motagua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Motagua and Juticalpa.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302894 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Motagua x Juticalpa

Is it worth betting on Motagua?

🔵 Motagua: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 85.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $240.80
  • And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $365.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$535.00.

Should you bet on Juticalpa?

🔴 Juticalpa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $311.60;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$648.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Motagua x Juticalpa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Motagua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motagua x Juticalpa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Motagua and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Motagua. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motagua x Juticalpa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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