📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Mount Pleasant FA x Humble Lions
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Analysis from Mount Pleasant FA x Humble Lions for the Jamaica Premier League – 17 of January
🏟️ Mount Pleasant FA X Humble Lions – Jamaica Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mount Pleasant FA and Humble Lions.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288856 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Mount Pleasant FA x Humble Lions
Is it worth betting on Mount Pleasant FA?
🔵 Mount Pleasant FA: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 780 times – profiting $344.76;
- And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$124.76.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Humble Lions?
🔴 Humble Lions: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $196.00;
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$764.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mount Pleasant FA x Humble Lions
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mount Pleasant FA
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mount Pleasant FA x Humble Lions
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mount Pleasant FA, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Mount Pleasant FA.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Humble Lions.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mount Pleasant FA x Humble Lions
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves