MP x EPS Betting tips for July 6 in Finland Ykkonen
| 📅 6/7/2025 15:30 |
 MP1.50 |
X 4.30 |
EPS  4.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for MP x EPS:
🔮 MP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on MP, you can win up to $750.00!
Some important points for the tip for MP x EPS:
👉 If you had bet $100 on MP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on EPS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, MP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, EPS conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for EPS as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on MP x EPS?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on MP x EPS, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from MP x EPS for the Finland Ykkonen – 6 of July
🏟️ MP X EPS – Finland Ykkonen
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 MP – Winning probability: 77.94% | Fair line: 1.28
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.45% | Fair line: 8.73
🔴 EPS – Winning probability: 10.61% | Fair line: 9.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 MP
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MP x EPS right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348919 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for MP x EPS
Should you bet on MP?
🔵 MP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $363.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$527.00.
Is it worth betting on EPS?
🔴 EPS: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $412.50
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$477.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match MP x EPS
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 MP
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MP x EPS
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 MP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 MP.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 EPS.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MP x EPS
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
