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Home » Predictions » Others » MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava Betting tips for March 11 in Slovakia Cup
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 17h00 Slovakia Cup
MSK Zilina MSK Zilina
PREDICTION MSK Zilina wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
FC Spartak Trnava FC Spartak Trnava
ODD: @2.12 Don't miss this prediction!

MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava Betting tips for March 11 in Slovakia Cup

Our betting tip for MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
📅 11/3/2025
17:00
MSK Zilina MSK Zilina
2.12
X
3.25
FC Spartak Trnava FC Spartak Trnava
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava:

🔮 MSK Zilina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on MSK Zilina, you can win up to $1060.00!

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Some important points for the tip for MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava:

👉 If you had bet $100 on MSK Zilina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Spartak Trnava in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $575.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Spartak Trnava scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Spartak Trnava, MSK Zilina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 MSK Zilina matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 FC Spartak Trnava is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 MSK Zilina has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against FC Spartak Trnava playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava for the Slovakia Cup – 11 of March

🏟️ MSK Zilina X FC Spartak Trnava – Slovakia Cup
📅 11 of March, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 MSK Zilina – Winning probability: 48.12% | Fair line: 2.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.53% | Fair line: 6.88
🔴 FC Spartak Trnava – Winning probability: 37.35% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 MSK Zilina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between MSK Zilina and FC Spartak Trnava.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava

Is it worth betting on MSK Zilina?

🔵 MSK Zilina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $537.60;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$17.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $337.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$512.50.

Is it worth betting on FC Spartak Trnava?

🔴 FC Spartak Trnava: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $740.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$110.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 MSK Zilina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 MSK Zilina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 MSK Zilina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 MSK Zilina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MSK Zilina x FC Spartak Trnava

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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