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Home » Predictions » Mtarfa x Valletta Betting tips for February 2 in Malta Challenge League
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h00 Malta Challenge League
Mtarfa Mtarfa
PREDICTION Valletta Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Valletta Valletta
ODD: @1.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Mtarfa x Valletta Betting tips for February 2 in Malta Challenge League

Our betting tip for Mtarfa x Valletta, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:00
Mtarfa Mtarfa
17.25
X
7.20
Valletta Valletta
1.11

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mtarfa x Valletta:

🔮 Valletta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valletta, you can win up to $555.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Mtarfa x Valletta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mtarfa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valletta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mtarfa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Valletta has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mtarfa x Valletta?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mtarfa x Valletta:

Analysis from Mtarfa x Valletta for the Malta Challenge League – 2 of February

🏟️ Mtarfa X Valletta – Malta Challenge League
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Mtarfa – Winning probability: 0.11% | Fair line: 877.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.52% | Fair line: 193.38
🔴 Valletta – Winning probability: 99.37% | Fair line: 1.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Mtarfa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mtarfa and Valletta.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mtarfa x Valletta

Is it worth betting on Mtarfa?

🔵 Mtarfa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 17.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $62.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$928.00.

Is it worth betting on Valletta?

🔴 Valletta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $108.90
  • And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$98.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mtarfa x Valletta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Mtarfa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mtarfa x Valletta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.25 Mtarfa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +2.0 Mtarfa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Valletta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mtarfa x Valletta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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