Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense Betting tips for September 29 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 20:00

Municipal Perez Zeledon 4.20

X 3.42

Alajuelense 1.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense:

🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $850.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Perez Zeledon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Alajuelense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Municipal Perez Zeledon matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Municipal Perez Zeledon conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Alajuelense. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Alajuelense has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Alajuelense won the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Perez Zeledon´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense:

Analysis from Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Municipal Perez Zeledon and Alajuelense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense

Is it worth betting on Municipal Perez Zeledon?

🔵 Municipal Perez Zeledon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $448.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $653.40
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.60.

Is it worth betting on Alajuelense?

🔴 Alajuelense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $413.00;
• And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$3.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Municipal Perez Zeledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Municipal Perez Zeledon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Municipal Perez Zeledon.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Alajuelense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.