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Home » Predictions » Others » Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose Betting tips for January 12 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 21h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Municipal Perez Zeledon Municipal Perez Zeledon
PREDICTION No tip
Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
Don't miss this prediction!

Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose Betting tips for January 12 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
21:00
Municipal Perez Zeledon Municipal Perez Zeledon
2.05
X
3.10
Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose

The main points for the tip for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Perez Zeledon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Jose in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Municipal Perez Zeledon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sporting San Jose conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Municipal Perez Zeledon conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sporting San Jose.
👉 Even as a visitor, Sporting San Jose won the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Perez Zeledon´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 12 of January

🏟️ Municipal Perez Zeledon X Sporting San Jose – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Municipal Perez Zeledon – Winning probability: 53.34% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.77% | Fair line: 3.73
🔴 Sporting San Jose – Winning probability: 19.89% | Fair line: 5.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Municipal Perez Zeledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245132 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose

Is betting on Municipal Perez Zeledon worth it?

🔵 Municipal Perez Zeledon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $556.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Should you bet on Sporting San Jose?

🔴 Sporting San Jose: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $460.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Municipal Perez Zeledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Municipal Perez Zeledon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Municipal Perez Zeledon. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Sporting San Jose

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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