Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito Betting tips for April 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 19:00

Mushuc Runa 3.50

X 3.30

LDU Quito 1.94

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito

Some important points for the tip for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mushuc Runa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mushuc Runa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Mushuc Runa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mushuc Runa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against LDU Quito.

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Analysis from Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of April

When the best bet on Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito

Is it a good idea to bet on Mushuc Runa?

🔵 Mushuc Runa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $725.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$15.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is betting on LDU Quito worth it?

🔴 LDU Quito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $394.80;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$185.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mushuc Runa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Mushuc Runa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Mushuc Runa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Mushuc Runa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mushuc Runa x LDU Quito

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.