📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif
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Analysis from NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif for the Algeria Division 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ NA Hussein Dey X ES Setif – Algeria Division 1
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif
Is it worth betting on NA Hussein Dey?
🔵 NA Hussein Dey: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$488.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $646.00
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on ES Setif?
🔴 ES Setif: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $571.10;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$61.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 NA Hussein Dey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 NA Hussein Dey, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 NA Hussein Dey.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NA Hussein Dey x ES Setif
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves