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Home » Predictions » Others » Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion Betting tips for February 8 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Sunday, 08 February 2026, 23h15 Paraguay Division Profesional
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
PREDICTION Olimpia Asuncion Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
ODD: @2.38
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Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion Betting tips for February 8 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion, Sunday, 8/2/2026
📅 8/2/2026
23:15
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
2.85
X
3.10
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
2.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion:

🔮 Olimpia Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olimpia Asuncion, you can win up to $1190.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Nacional Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Olimpia Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Olimpia Asuncion, Nacional Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Olimpia Asuncion conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Nacional Asuncion is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Nacional Asuncion has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Olimpia Asuncion playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 8 of February

🏟️ Nacional Asuncion X Olimpia Asuncion – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 8 of February, 2026 – 23:15
🔵 Nacional Asuncion – Winning probability: 22.44% | Fair line: 4.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.66% | Fair line: 3.49
🔴 Olimpia Asuncion – Winning probability: 48.90% | Fair line: 2.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nacional Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Odds and handicap movements for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for Nacional Asuncion had a slight Raised of 9.60%: the market opened with odds of @2.833 for Nacional Asuncion and now the odds are @3.105.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Decreased of -11.38%: the market opened with odds of @3.34 for Draw and now the odds are @2.96.
📊 With a variation of 1.84%, the odds for Olimpia Asuncion are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.397 for Olimpia Asuncion and now the odds are @2.441.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.25 for Olimpia Asuncion is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1476248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Nacional Asuncion worth it?

🔵 Nacional Asuncion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $407.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Should you bet on Olimpia Asuncion?

🔴 Olimpia Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $676.20
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$166.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nacional Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Nacional Asuncion, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nacional Asuncion.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Olimpia Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion

Who is the favourite for Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion?

Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Olimpia Asuncion, with an estimated chance of 48.90%. Remember: surprises happen in football!

Who will win: Nacional Asuncion or Olimpia Asuncion?

Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Olimpia Asuncion has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 48.90%. If you bet on Olimpia Asuncion, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Nacional Asuncion beating Olimpia Asuncion today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Nacional Asuncion to win approximately 22 of them against Olimpia Asuncion.

What are the chances of Olimpia Asuncion beating Nacional Asuncion today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Olimpia Asuncion would take victory in roughly 49 of them against Nacional Asuncion.

Which team should I bet on: Nacional Asuncion or Olimpia Asuncion?

A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Olimpia Asuncion Wins as the best pick, with EV of 19.66%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!

How much is Nacional Asuncion paying today? See what you can win by betting on Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion:

The odds for Nacional Asuncion to beat Olimpia Asuncion today are around 2.85. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2850.00 if Nacional Asuncion wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is Olimpia Asuncion paying today? See what you can win by betting on Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion:

The odds for Olimpia Asuncion to beat Nacional Asuncion today are around 2.38. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2380.00 if Olimpia Asuncion wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Which bookmaker is best for betting on Nacional Asuncion x Olimpia Asuncion?

If you plan to bet on Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves