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Home » Predictions » Others » Nacional De Football x Boston River Betting tips for December 1 in Uruguay Clausura
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 20h00 Uruguay Clausura
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
PREDICTION Nacional De Football wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Boston River Boston River
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Nacional De Football x Boston River Betting tips for December 1 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Nacional De Football x Boston River, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
20:00
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
1.36
X
4.40
Boston River Boston River
6.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nacional De Football x Boston River:

🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Nacional De Football x Boston River:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $89.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-149.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boston River, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Boston River matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Nacional De Football is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Nacional De Football has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Boston River.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nacional De Football x Boston River?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nacional De Football x Boston River:

Analysis from Nacional De Football x Boston River for the Uruguay Clausura – 1 of December

🏟️ Nacional De Football X Boston River – Uruguay Clausura
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Nacional De Football – Winning probability: 80.04% | Fair line: 1.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.66% | Fair line: 6.82
🔴 Boston River – Winning probability: 5.29% | Fair line: 18.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Nacional De Football
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nacional De Football x Boston River is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional De Football x Boston River

Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional De Football?

🔵 Nacional De Football: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $288.00;
  • And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$88.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it worth betting on Boston River?

🔴 Boston River: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $292.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$657.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional De Football x Boston River

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Nacional De Football
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Boston River

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Nacional De Football and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Nacional De Football. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional De Football x Boston River

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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