Penarol x Nacional De Football Betting tips for July 6 in Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
| 📅 6/7/2025 18:00 |
 Penarol2.65 |
X 2.90 |
Nacional De Football  2.62 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Penarol x Nacional De Football:
🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $1325.00!
Some important points for the tip for Penarol x Nacional De Football:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $86.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $557.0.
👉 Penarol did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Penarol scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nacional De Football scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Penarol x Nacional De Football, with Penarol as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Penarol is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Nacional De Football has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Penarol x Nacional De Football for the Uruguay Torneo Intermedio – 6 of July
🏟️ Penarol X Nacional De Football – Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Penarol – Winning probability: 36.39% | Fair line: 2.75
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.56% | Fair line: 3.38
🔴 Nacional De Football – Winning probability: 34.06% | Fair line: 2.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Nacional De Football.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1348919 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Nacional De Football
Should you bet on Penarol?
🔵 Penarol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$46.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $570.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.
Is it worth betting on Nacional De Football?
🔴 Nacional De Football: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $550.80;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Nacional De Football
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Nacional De Football
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Penarol.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Nacional De Football
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
