Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for October 29 in Uruguay Cup
📅 29/10/2024 23:30 |
Nacional De Football 1.23 |
X 5.40 |
Plaza Colonia 8.84 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia:
🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $615.00!
Some important points for the tip for Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $127.0. |
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Analysis from Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia for the Uruguay Cup – 29 of October
🏟️ Nacional De Football X Plaza Colonia – Uruguay Cup |
When the best bet on Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212710 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia
Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional De Football?
🔵 Nacional De Football: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $216.20;
- And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$156.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$730.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Plaza Colonia?
🔴 Plaza Colonia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $78.40
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$911.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Nacional De Football
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Nacional De Football and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Nacional De Football.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Nacional De Football.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional De Football x Plaza Colonia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.