Nacional Potosi x Guabira Betting tips for April 14 in Bolivia Primera Division

Our betting tip for Nacional Potosi x Guabira, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 21:30

Nacional Potosi 1.28

X 5.20

Guabira 7.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nacional Potosi x Guabira:

🔮 Nacional Potosi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional Potosi, you can win up to $640.00!

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The main points for the tip for Nacional Potosi x Guabira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional Potosi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $73.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guabira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Guabira, Nacional Potosi scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Nacional Potosi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosi x Guabira, with Nacional Potosi as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Guabira conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Nacional Potosi has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Guabira. 👉 It is not a good time for Guabira as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Nacional Potosi x Guabira for the Bolivia Primera Division – 14 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nacional Potosi x Guabira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nacional Potosi x Guabira

Is betting on Nacional Potosi worth it?

🔵 Nacional Potosi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 950 times – profiting $266.00;
• And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $126.00
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$844.00.

Is it worth betting on Guabira?

🔴 Guabira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $136.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$844.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional Potosi x Guabira

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Nacional Potosi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional Potosi x Guabira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Nacional Potosi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Nacional Potosi.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Nacional Potosi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional Potosi x Guabira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.