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Home » Predictions » Others » Næsby x Viborg Betting tips for October 31 in Denmark Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 16h00 Denmark Cup
Næsby Næsby
PREDICTION Viborg Wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Viborg Viborg
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Næsby x Viborg Betting tips for October 31 in Denmark Cup

Our betting tip for Næsby x Viborg, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
16:00
Næsby Næsby
10.50
X
6.00
Viborg Viborg
1.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Næsby x Viborg:

🔮 Viborg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Viborg, you can win up to $600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Næsby x Viborg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Næsby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-52.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Viborg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Næsby conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Næsby x Viborg for the Denmark Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ Næsby X Viborg – Denmark Cup
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Næsby – Winning probability: 0.30% | Fair line: 336.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.31% | Fair line: 76.29
🔴 Viborg – Winning probability: 98.39% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Næsby
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Næsby x Viborg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213227 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Næsby x Viborg

Is it a good idea to bet on Næsby?

🔵 Næsby: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $50.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$940.00.

Should you bet on Viborg?

🔴 Viborg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – profiting $196.00;
  • And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Næsby x Viborg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Næsby
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Næsby x Viborg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Næsby, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Næsby.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 Næsby.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Næsby x Viborg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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