Naestved x Thisted FC Betting tips for March 9 in Denmark Division 2

Our betting tip for Naestved x Thisted FC, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 12:00

Naestved 1.53

X 3.75

Thisted FC 5.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Naestved x Thisted FC:

🔮 Naestved wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Naestved, you can win up to $765.00!

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Important information for your tip for Naestved x Thisted FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Naestved in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $351.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Thisted FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Naestved did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Naestved scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Thisted FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Thisted FC, Naestved scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Naestved matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Thisted FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Naestved conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Thisted FC. 👉 Naestved is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Naestved has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Thisted FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Naestved x Thisted FC for the Denmark Division 2 – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Naestved x Thisted FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Naestved x Thisted FC

Is betting on Naestved worth it?

🔵 Naestved: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 730 times – profiting $386.90;
• And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $467.50;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$362.50.

Is it worth betting on Thisted FC?

🔴 Thisted FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$495.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Naestved x Thisted FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Naestved
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Naestved x Thisted FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Naestved, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Naestved.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Thisted FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Naestved x Thisted FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.