Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba Betting tips for March 9 in Iraq Stars League

Our betting tip for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 18:15

Naft Al-Basra 3.14

X 3.00

Al Talaba 2.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba

The main points for the tip for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Naft Al-Basra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-74.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Talaba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-92.0.

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Analysis from Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba for the Iraq Stars League – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba

Is it a good idea to bet on Naft Al-Basra?

🔵 Naft Al-Basra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $470.80
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$309.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Should you bet on Al Talaba?

🔴 Al Talaba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $540.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Naft Al-Basra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Naft Al-Basra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Naft Al-Basra.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Al Talaba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Naft Al-Basra x Al Talaba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.