Nardo x Mosjøen Betting tips for September 29 in Norway Division 3 Group 4

Our betting tip for Nardo x Mosjøen, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:30

Nardo 1.06

X 11.00

Mosjøen 20.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nardo x Mosjøen:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Nardo x Mosjøen

Important information for your tip for Nardo x Mosjøen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nardo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-116.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mosjøen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nardo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Nardo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Mosjøen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Mosjøen received red cards in the last 3 matches as the away team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Mosjøen conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Nardo x Mosjøen for the Norway Division 3 Group 4 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nardo and Mosjøen.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nardo x Mosjøen

Should you bet on Nardo?

🔵 Nardo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – profiting $60.00;
• And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$60.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Mosjøen?

🔴 Mosjøen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 20.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nardo x Mosjøen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -4.75 Nardo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nardo x Mosjøen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -4.75 Nardo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -3.0 Nardo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -3.0 Nardo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nardo x Mosjøen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.50 goals.