Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
| 📅 13/4/2025 15:00 |
 Navalcarnero3.00 |
X 2.90 |
CD Guadalajara  2.39 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara
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The main points for the tip for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Navalcarnero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $232.0. |
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Analysis from Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 13 of April
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🏟️ Navalcarnero X CD Guadalajara – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara
Is it a good idea to bet on Navalcarnero?
🔵 Navalcarnero: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $880.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$101.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on CD Guadalajara?
🔴 CD Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $347.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$402.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Navalcarnero
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Navalcarnero, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Navalcarnero.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Navalcarnero.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Navalcarnero x CD Guadalajara
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
