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Home » Predictions » Others » Navalcarnero x Union Adarve Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
PREDICTION Navalcarnero wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Union Adarve Union Adarve
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Navalcarnero x Union Adarve Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Navalcarnero x Union Adarve, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:00
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
1.95
X
3.00
Union Adarve Union Adarve
3.92

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Navalcarnero x Union Adarve:

🔮 Navalcarnero wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Navalcarnero, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Navalcarnero x Union Adarve:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Navalcarnero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Adarve in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Navalcarnero scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Union Adarve, Navalcarnero scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Union Adarve matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Navalcarnero x Union Adarve for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 12 of January

🏟️ Navalcarnero X Union Adarve – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Navalcarnero – Winning probability: 56.79% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.42% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 Union Adarve – Winning probability: 12.78% | Fair line: 7.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Navalcarnero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Navalcarnero and Union Adarve.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Navalcarnero x Union Adarve

Is it a good idea to bet on Navalcarnero?

🔵 Navalcarnero: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $541.50;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$111.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on Union Adarve?

🔴 Union Adarve: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $379.60;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$490.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Navalcarnero x Union Adarve

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Navalcarnero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Navalcarnero x Union Adarve

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Navalcarnero and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Navalcarnero. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Navalcarnero x Union Adarve

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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