Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch Betting tips for May 11 in Uzbekistan PFL

Our betting tip for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025 13:00

Navbahor Namangan 1.94

X 3.10

Xorazm Urganch 3.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch

The main points for the tip for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Navbahor Namangan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-182.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Xorazm Urganch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0. 👉 Xorazm Urganch did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Navbahor Namangan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Xorazm Urganch matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch for the Uzbekistan PFL – 11 of May

When the best bet on Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322631 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch

Is betting on Navbahor Namangan worth it?

🔵 Navbahor Namangan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $507.60;
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$47.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $588.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Xorazm Urganch?

🔴 Xorazm Urganch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $469.80;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Navbahor Namangan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Navbahor Namangan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Navbahor Namangan. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Navbahor Namangan x Xorazm Urganch

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.