ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia 2. SNL
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 ND Dravinja3.10 |
X 3.30 |
NK Aluminij  2.05 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij
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The main points for the tip for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ND Dravinja in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0. |
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Analysis from ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij for the Slovenia 2. SNL – 29 of September
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🏟️ ND Dravinja X NK Aluminij – Slovenia 2. SNL |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij
Is it a good idea to bet on ND Dravinja?
🔵 ND Dravinja: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $483.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$43.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on NK Aluminij worth it?
🔴 NK Aluminij: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $493.50;
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$36.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ND Dravinja
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 ND Dravinja and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 ND Dravinja.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ND Dravinja x NK Aluminij
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
